The Partisan Effects of Voter Turnout: How Conservatives Profit from Rainy Election Days

Felix Arnold and Ronny Freier

No 1463, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research

Abstract: In this short note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and 2010 to show that the social democrats generally profit from higher voter turnout at the expense of the conservatives. We deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular contribution is the comparison of municipal and state elections.

Keywords: Turnout; Partisan effects; rain; Germany; municipalities; elections (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 H70 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 11 p.
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm and nep-pol
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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