Trade Shocks and Social Mobility: The Intergenerational Effect of Import Competition in Brazil

Andrés César, Matías Ciaschi, Guillermo Falcone and Guido Neidhöfer
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Guillermo Falcone: CEDLAS-IIE-FCE-UNLP & CONICET

CEDLAS, Working Papers from CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata

Abstract: This paper investigates whether the impact of trade shocks on employment and wages persists across generations. Using survey data with retrospective information on parental employment and instrumental variables, we study the effect of increased Chinese import competition in Brazilian industries on individuals with differently exposed fathers. Results show that several years after the shock, children of more exposed fathers have lower education and earnings, lower chances of formal jobs, and are more likely to rely on social assistance. These effects are substantially stronger for children from disadvantaged background, indicating that the shock had a negative impact on intergenerational mobility.

JEL-codes: F14 F16 I24 J23 J62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 47 pages
Date: 2023-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int, nep-lab, nep-lam and nep-ltv
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Related works:
Working Paper: Trade shocks and social mobility: The intergenerational effect of import competition in Brazil (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:dls:wpaper:0316

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