Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicator

Domenico Giannone, Lucrezia Reichlin and Saverio Simonelli

No 2009_021, Working Papers ECARES from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract: This paper assesses the role of surveys for the early estimates of GDP in the euro area in a model-based automated procedures which exploits the timeliness of their release. The analysis is conducted using both an historical evaluation and a real time case study on the current conjuncture.

Keywords: Forecasting; factor model; real time data; large data sets; survey. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 C53 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 17 p.
Date: 2009
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-ecm, nep-eec, nep-for and nep-mac
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (42)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators (2009)
Journal Article: NOWCASTING EURO AREA ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN REAL TIME: THE ROLE OF CONFIDENCE INDICATORS (2009)
Working Paper: Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators (2009)
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