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Firm turnover and inflation dynamics

Lenno Uusküla

No wp2015-01, Bank of Estonia Working Papers from Bank of Estonia

Abstract: This paper examines the role of firm turnover in explaining inflation dynamics. I augment a New-Keynesian DSGE model with endogenous entry and exogenous stochastic exit and estimate with the Bayesian full information approach for the US economy. Results show that shocks to the entry cost explain more than half of the inflation variance at the business cycle frequencies. When it is cheap to create firms, the number of new firms goes up and inflation increases as labour intensive creation of firms pushes up the demand for labour. Only gradually, when the number of firms is high and the number of new firms goes down again, does inflation fall, as stressed by the standard mechanism for an increasing number of firms

Keywords: inflation; New-Keynesian Phillips curve; firm turnover (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 E23 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-02-03, Revised 2015-02-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-bec, nep-dge and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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