Capital flows and growth dynamics in Central and Eastern Europe

Karsten Staehr ()

No wp2016-10, Bank of Estonia Working Papers from Bank of Estonia

Abstract: This paper assesses the importance of capital flows as measured by the current account balance for the growth dynamics of the EU countries from Central and Eastern Europe. Economic growth in these countries was on average relatively high before the global financial crisis but markedly lower after the crisis. Panel data econometrics using annual data for 1997–2015 points to the contemporaneous current account balance having a sizeable negative effect on annual GDP growth. Estimations using many control variables and instrumental variables suggest that the negative effect is mainly demand driven. Counterfactual simulations show that growth rates in all CEE countries would have been lower in the absence of capital flows, and this applies particularly to the countries with the most disadvantageous starting points

Keywords: business cycles; output performance; capital flows; current account balance; transition economies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: P17 P21 P36 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-01-13, Revised 2017-01-13
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-acc, nep-eec, nep-fdg and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://dx.doi.org/10.23656/25045520/102016/0037 (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 404 Not Found (http://dx.doi.org/10.23656/25045520/102016/0037 [301 Moved Permanently]--> https://dx.doi.org/10.23656/25045520/102016/0037 [302 Found]--> http://www.eestipank.ee/en/publication/working-papers/2016/10216-karsten-staehr-capital-flows-and-growth-dynamics-central-and-eastern-europe [301 Moved Permanently]--> https://www.eestipank.ee/en/publication/working-papers/2016/10216-karsten-staehr-capital-flows-and-growth-dynamics-central-and-eastern-europe [308 Permanent Redirect]--> https://www.eestipank.ee/en/publications/working-papers/2016/10216-karsten-staehr-capital-flows-and-growth-dynamics-central-and-eastern-europe)

Related works:
Journal Article: Capital flows and growth dynamics in Central and Eastern Europe (2018)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eea:boewps:wp2016-10

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Estonia bld. 13, 15095 Tallinn, ESTONIA

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Bank of Estonia Working Papers from Bank of Estonia Estonia bld. 13, 15095 Tallinn, ESTONIA. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Peeter Luikmel ().