Modelling Indigenous small-scale agriculture and food systems in Guatemala - Hybrid Bayesian inference for data-poor regions

Julien Malard-Adam, Jan Adamowski, Héctor Tuy and Hugo Melgar-Quiñonez

Agricultural Systems, 2024, vol. 221, issue C

Abstract: Participatory system dynamics modelling is a useful method for characterising agricultural systems and the complex dynamics linking their human and agronomic counterparts that determine their long-term behaviour and sustainability. One challenge facing this use of system dynamics methods, nonetheless, is the scarcity of time-series data for many key variables, which hinders the calibration and validation of these models.

Keywords: Hierarchical Bayesian inference; Spatial validation; System dynamics models; Guatemala; Food security (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:agisys:v:221:y:2024:i:c:s0308521x2400252x

DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104102

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