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Designing reliable future energy systems by iteratively including extreme periods in time-series aggregation

Holger Teichgraeber, Lucas Elias Küpper and Adam R. Brandt

Applied Energy, 2021, vol. 304, issue C, No S0306261921010424

Abstract: Generation Capacity Expansion Planning (GCEP) requires high temporal resolution to account for the volatility of renewable energy supply. Because the GCEP optimization problem is often computationally intractable, time-series input data are often aggregated to representative periods using clustering. However, clustering removes extreme events, which are important to achieve reliable system designs. We present a method to include extreme periods into time-series aggregation for GCEP that guarantees reliable system designs on the full input data even though only the reduced data set is used for system design. Our method iteratively adds extreme periods to the set of representative periods based on information from the optimization problem itself until the energy system provides power reliably.

Keywords: Clustering; Energy systems; Time-series aggregation; Temporal resolution; Extreme periods; Optimization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117696

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