Forecasting incidences of COVID-19 using Box-Jenkins method for the period July 12-Septembert 11, 2020: A study on highly affected countries

Ramesh Chandra Das

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2020, vol. 140, issue C

Abstract: The devastating spread of the novel coronavirus, named COVID-19, starting its journey from Wuhan Province of China on January 21st, 2020, has now threatened lives of almost all the countries of the world in different magnitudes. Mostly the developed countries have been hit hard, besides the emerging countries like China, India and Brazil. The scientists and the policy makers are in dark with respect to its spread and claiming lives in coming days.

Keywords: COVID-19; Forecasting; ARIMA, Box-Jenkins, WHO; Growth; Mean difference (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110248

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