Controlling COVID-19 transmission with isolation of influential nodes

Sarkhosh Seddighi Chaharborj, Khondoker Nazmoon Nabi, Koo Lee Feng, Shahriar Seddighi Chaharborj and Pei See Phang

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2022, vol. 159, issue C

Abstract: To understand the transmission dynamics of any infectious disease outbreak, identification of influential nodes plays a crucial role in a complex network. In most infectious disease outbreaks, activities of some key nodes can trigger rapid disease transmission in the population. Identification and immediate isolation of those influential nodes can impede the disease transmission effectively. In this paper, the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method with a novel formula has been proposed to detect the influential and top ranked nodes in a complex social network, which involves analyzing and studying of structural organization of a network. In the proposed TOPSIS method, several centrality measures have been used as multi-attributes of a complex social network. A new formula has been designed for calculating the transmission probability of an epidemic disease to identify the impact of isolating influential nodes. To verify the robustness of the proposed method, we present a comprehensive comparison with five node-ranking methods, which are being used currently for assessing the importance of nodes. The key nodes can be considered as a person, community, cluster or a particular area. The Susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model is exploited in two real networks to examine the spreading ability of the nodes, and the results illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Our findings have unearthed that quarantine or isolation of influential nodes following proper health protocols can play a pivotal role in curbing the transmission rate of COVID-19.

Keywords: Complex network; TOPSIS method; Vital spreaders identification; Epidemic model; Transmission probability; Node-ranking (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:159:y:2022:i:c:s0960077922002454

DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112035

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