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A game-theoretic analysis of international tax compliance

Patrice Pieretti and Giuseppe Pulina

Economic Modelling, 2024, vol. 134, issue C

Abstract: This paper analyzes the response of low-tax jurisdictions to growing political pressure to comply with international tax avoidance regulations. We develop a game-theoretic model in which a low-tax country attempts to attract multinational companies by offering tax planning and/or an environment conducive to real economic activities. Our analysis reveals that while it is optimal to stigmatize non-compliant jurisdictions, political pressure may backfire by encouraging multinationals to shift their operations to low-tax jurisdictions if the reputational harm on them is not too high. Furthermore, we show that high-tax countries may find it optimal to tolerate aggressive tax planning to a certain extent, particularly when international mobility is high and the reputational harm on offshore substance-based investment is relatively low. These results underscore the complexities of enforcing tax compliance and suggest the need for a nuanced approach to tax regulation.

Keywords: Aggressive tax planning; Tax and infrastructure competition; Multinational firms; Value-driven FDIs; Political pressure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F23 H25 H26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Related works:
Working Paper: Tax havens under international pressure: How do they react? (2015) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:134:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324000464

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106690

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