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Monetary policy rules and zero lower bound on nominal interest rates in a cost-channel economy

Lasitha R.C. Pathberiya

Economic Modelling, 2024, vol. 139, issue C

Abstract: This study analyzed monetary policy rules in a cost-channel economy with a zero lower bound on nominal interest rates (ZLB). The cost channel reflects the supply-side effects of the monetary policy. The ZLB is considered an occasionally binding constraint in a new Keynesian setting. Taylor-type interest rules represent the monetary policy rules, and the novel forward guidance rule introduced in this study is anticipated and endogenous. Under monetary policy rules, a cost-channel economy is more likely to fall into a liquidity trap and remain there longer than a no-cost-channel economy. Accordingly, monetary policy transmission differs from that in a no-cost-channel economy in the ZLB presence. Furthermore, if agents expect future recessions, achieving the inflation target is more challenging in cost-channel economies. Irrespective of the existence of a cost channel, the forward guidance rule reduces the frequency and depth of liquidity-trapped recessions compared to the Taylor-type rules and avoids deflation bias.

Keywords: Cost channel of monetary policy; Zero rates on nominal interest rates; Interest rate rules; Forward guidance rules; Inflation bias; Deflation bias (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E32 E43 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:139:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324001640

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106808

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