Industrialization, environmental externality, and climate mitigation strategies

Huiying Ye, Hua Liao, Guoliang Zheng and Ying Peng

Economic Modelling, 2024, vol. 139, issue C

Abstract: This study proposes a 12-region global modeling framework that integrates industrialization into climate–economy interactions and applies it to explore national strategic interactions and long-term policy outcomes. In this regard, three policy regimes are considered: a non-cooperative Nash equilibrium and two cooperative regimes that maximize the weighted sum of regional welfare. Negishi weights, ensuring uniform carbon price, and equal weights are applied in cooperative setting. Based on the results, global unmitigated emissions will peak around 2040. Given the future industrialization process, developing countries will make greater mitigation efforts under all regimes, whereas the strategies of developed countries will only be affected under the uniform carbon price regime. In the two cooperative regimes, a clear separation of mitigation efforts is observed between developed and developing countries. Moreover, when accounting for industrialization, the global averaged carbon price should grow faster in the first half-century, followed by a period of slower growth. Sensitivity analysis implies that with the support from developed countries, accelerated industrialization in the developing world can help alleviate its environmental strain.

Keywords: Integrated assessment model; National abatement path; Industrialization process; Nash equilibrium; Carbon price (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O40 Q01 Q50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:139:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324001834

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106826

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