EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

An assessment of the distributional impacts of autonomous adaptation to climate change from European agriculture

Maxime Ollier, Pierre-Alain Jayet and Pierre Humblot

Ecological Economics, 2024, vol. 222, issue C

Abstract: Farmers facing a durable change in climate conditions may autonomously adapt through the intensive margin, the extensive margin, or through the adoption of new practices. Based on a coupling between a microeconomic model of European agriculture (AROPAj) and a crop model (STICS), this article investigates the potential distributional impacts of farm-level autonomous adaptation to climate change within the European Union (EU-27). Considering the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 of the second report on emission scenario of the fifth assessment report (SRES AR5), we implement two levels of autonomous adaptation for farmers, and three time horizons. The results indicate that ceteris paribus, climate change may lead in terms of social welfare to a slightly worse situation in the middle term and a slightly better situation in the long term with respect to the present. However, the ranking of agents in the distribution is importantly impacted. Our Shapley inequality decomposition shows that income inequality is largely explained by the region and type of farming. Climate change barely affects the marginal contribution of these two characteristics to overall income inequality.

Keywords: European agriculture; Climate change; Autonomous adaptation; Income inequality; Inequality decomposition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D63 Q12 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800924001186
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
Working Paper: An assessment of the distributional impacts of autonomous adaptation to climate change from European agriculture (2024)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:222:y:2024:i:c:s0921800924001186

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108221

Access Statistics for this article

Ecological Economics is currently edited by C. J. Cleveland

More articles in Ecological Economics from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-23
Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:222:y:2024:i:c:s0921800924001186