The impact of income-driven changes in global consumption patterns on Kyoto Gas emissions during the twenty-first century

Simon Bones and Richard M. Timmerman

Ecological Economics, 2025, vol. 227, issue C

Abstract: Global 21st century Kyoto Gas emissions growth as forecast in SSP2 (a middle-of-the-road future climate scenario) is largely driven by expected: (a) per-capita GDP growth; and (b) energy/non-CO2 GDP intensity reduction. While models of the former have been comprehensively critiqued, the rationale for the latter has not.

Keywords: SSP2 baseline; Kaya Identity; Inequality; Climate change; Kuznets Curve; Emissions intensity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:227:y:2025:i:c:s0921800924002696

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108372

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