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Economic policy uncertainty and government spending multipliers

Rong Li and Ning Wei

Economics Letters, 2022, vol. 217, issue C

Abstract: We examine the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on the effectiveness of government spending using a local projection method with an endogenously determined threshold parameter. The empirical analysis reveals that government spending multipliers are larger during low EPU periods compared to those in high EPU periods. This result is robust when government spending shocks are identified using government spending news constructed based on survey of professional forecasters data. Our study calls for policy expectation management as a company effort together with fiscal stimulus.

Keywords: Government spending multiplier; Economic policy uncertainty; Fiscal policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D80 E62 H50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:217:y:2022:i:c:s016517652200235x

DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2022.110693

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