Bayesian semi-individual based model with approximate Bayesian computation for parameters calibration: Modelling Crown-of-Thorns populations on the Great Barrier Reef

C.C.-M. Chen, C.C. Drovandi, J.M. Keith, K. Anthony, M.J. Caley and K.L. Mengersen

Ecological Modelling, 2017, vol. 364, issue C, 113-123

Abstract: Outbreaks of Crown-of-Thorns Starfish (CoTS), Acanthaster planci, are a major cause of coral decline on the Great Barrier Reef, second only to cyclones. Although various models have been developed in the past to assist management decision making, most of these models were cohort-based deterministic descriptions with little inclusion of parameter and individual uncertainties, or they were structured around a generic ecological modelling framework, or they were not calibrated with observational data.

Keywords: Model calibration; Individual uncertainty; Parameters uncertainty; Individual agent; Approximate Bayesian computation; Replenishment sequential Monte-Carlo: ABC; Crown-of-Thorns Starfish (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:364:y:2017:i:c:p:113-123

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.09.006

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