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Optimizing sequential decision-making under risk: Strategic allocation with switching penalties

Milad Malekipirbazari

European Journal of Operational Research, 2025, vol. 321, issue 1, 160-176

Abstract: This paper considers the multiarmed bandit (MAB) problem augmented with a critical real-world consideration: the cost implications of switching decisions. Our work distinguishes itself by addressing the largely unexplored domain of risk-averse MAB problems compounded by switching penalties. Such scenarios are not just theoretical constructs but are reflective of numerous practical applications. Our contribution is threefold: firstly, we explore how switching costs and risk aversion influence decision-making in MAB problems. Secondly, we present novel theoretical results, including the development of the Risk-Averse Switching Index (RASI), which addresses the dual challenges of risk aversion and switching costs, demonstrating its near-optimal efficacy. This heuristic solution method is grounded in dynamic coherent risk measures, enabling a time-consistent evaluation of risk and reward. Lastly, through rigorous numerical experiments, we validate our algorithm’s effectiveness and practical applicability, providing decision-makers with valuable insights and tools for navigating the multifaceted landscape of risk-averse environments with inherent switching costs.

Keywords: Stochastic programming; Multiarmed bandit problem; Switching penalties; Risk-averse decision-making; Dynamic coherent risk measures (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ejores:v:321:y:2025:i:1:p:160-176

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.09.023

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