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Split sovereign ratings and rating migrations in emerging economies

Rasha Al-Sakka and Owain ap Gwilym
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Rasha Alsakka

Emerging Markets Review, 2010, vol. 11, issue 2, 79-97

Abstract: This paper presents evidence on sovereign rating heterogeneity in emerging economies. Split rated sovereigns are prone to be upgraded (downgraded) by the agency from whom a lower (higher) rating exists. The harsher the split ratings between two agencies, the greater the effect on probabilities of future rating changes. Split ratings among Moody's, S&P and Fitch are influential on their rating migrations. The rating dynamics of Capital Intelligence, Japan Credit Rating Agency and Japan Rating & Investment Information are affected by their rating disagreements with the larger agencies. Only Moody's upgrade decisions are influenced by rating differentials with the smaller agencies.

Keywords: Split; ratings; Emerging; sovereign; ratings; Rating; migrations; Marginal; effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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