Network analysis of risk transmission among energy futures: An industrial chain perspective
Ruolan Ouyang,
Chengkai Zhuang,
Tingting Wang and
Xuan Zhang
Energy Economics, 2022, vol. 107, issue C
Abstract:
The fluctuation of energy prices has a great impact on the economy, making it essential to analyze the risk transmission among energy commodities. In this paper, we use the minimum spanning tree (MST) approach and connectedness method to study the risk transmission among energy futures in China. Eleven commodities, including two globally traded crude oil, are considered. Four major results are obtained. First, MST analysis provides evidence of industry clustering. Second, the risk transmission is generally from the petrochemical sector to the coal sector; while the risk transmission in each sector mainly spills from upstream to the downstream products. Third, “methanol - polyethylene” bridges the coal sector and petrochemical sector, through which the link between the two sectors has been strengthened since the outbreak of COVID-19. Fourth, the systemic risk of the energy market has increased, and several commodities have experienced a role reversal in the network since the pandemic began, especially in the petrochemical sector.
Keywords: Network analysis; Energy futures; Risk transmission; Industrial chain (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G01 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (25)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:107:y:2022:i:c:s0140988321006332
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105798
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