Dynamics of fuel demand elasticity: Evidence from Iranian subsidy reforms
Hamed Ghoddusi,
Mohammad Morovati and
Nima Rafizadeh
Energy Economics, 2022, vol. 110, issue C
Abstract:
We exploit three major transport fuel (gasoline and diesel) subsidy reforms in Iran, as quasi-experiments, to investigate the impact of permanent upward price changes on the responsiveness of fuel consumption. We employ monthly regional-level data of fuel consumption in Iran and also explicitly account for outbound cross-border smuggling from Iran to estimate the short, intermediate, and long-term price elasticity of demand. We find that price elasticity and price levels are inversely related to each other. All of our estimations also suggest a substantial impact of subsidy reforms on consumers’ behavior such that the magnitude of price elasticities consistently increases after each of the three major reforms. Finally, we find that fuel consumption is more responsive to a change in domestic price in the longer run. Our paper provides quantitative evidence of behavior change after a subsidy reform program, which can be used to better set fiscal and environmental targets.
Keywords: Subsidized fuel; Subsidy reform; Price elasticity; Time-varying elasticity; Panel data estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 H71 Q41 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:110:y:2022:i:c:s0140988322001815
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106009
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