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A volatility spillover analysis with realized semi(co)variances in Australian electricity markets

Evelyn Chanatásig-Niza, Aitor Ciarreta and Ainhoa Zarraga

Energy Economics, 2022, vol. 111, issue C

Abstract: Volatility spillovers are a characteristic of interconnected electricity markets. We use high-frequency prices to analyze the transmission of volatility across five Australian regional electricity markets. We propose several models: The first includes only realized variances; the second adds realized covariances; the last two include positive and negative realized semi(co)variances, separately, obtained from the decomposition of the realized covariance matrix into components based on the sign of the underlying returns. We carry out the analysis for both static and dynamic frameworks and relate the behavior of spillovers to major events and policies affecting the markets. Results show that ignoring covariances results in spillovers being underestimated and highlight the importance of the role of semi(co)variances in detecting asymmetric spillovers. Finally, we discuss implications for short-run market participants and long-term planning by regulators.

Keywords: Electricity prices; Volatility spillovers; Semivariance; Semicovariance; Asymmetric effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 Q41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:111:y:2022:i:c:s0140988322002407

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106076

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Energy Economics is currently edited by R. S. J. Tol, Beng Ang, Lance Bachmeier, Perry Sadorsky, Ugur Soytas and J. P. Weyant

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