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When macro time series meets micro panel data: A clear and present danger

Ho-Chuan Huang, Xiuhua Wang and Xin Xiong

Energy Economics, 2022, vol. 114, issue C

Abstract: This short note addresses a serious problem in combining macro (country-level) time series data, e.g., oil price uncertainty (OPU) or economic/trade policy uncertainty (EPU/TPU), with micro (firm-level) financial and accounting panel data, e.g., corporate leverage, investment, and innovation, to name a few. In most of the applications, the main interest is to assess the impacts of country-level explanatory variable on the firm-level dependent variable, with year fixed effects (along with other firm fixed effects, etc.) being included. Since the macro time series are the same for all firms in each year, it is straightforward to show that the macro time series variable is perfectly correlated with the year fixed effects, and thus unidentifiable. We employ three real data sets to illustrate the perfect multicollinearity issue, and our demonstrations cast doubt on the findings of several existing studies suffering from this issue. Finally, we also offer some practical ways to get around with (at least mitigate) this problem.

Keywords: Perfect multicollinearity; Two-way fixed effects; Oil price uncertainty; Economic policy uncertainty; Trade policy uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 E32 E4 E5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:114:y:2022:i:c:s0140988322004182

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106289

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Energy Economics is currently edited by R. S. J. Tol, Beng Ang, Lance Bachmeier, Perry Sadorsky, Ugur Soytas and J. P. Weyant

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