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Big oil in the transition or Green Paradox? A capital market approach

Dirk G. Baur and Neda Todorova

Energy Economics, 2023, vol. 125, issue C

Abstract: In an environment of intensifying pressure to decarbonize, firms in the oil and gas industry have announced initiatives to reduce carbon emissions including ambitious net zero goals. Critics argue that such announcements lack substance and are mainly designed to conceal ongoing investment in fossil fuels. Given the difficulty to validate such announcements, we use capital market data to estimate the transition to a lower carbon state. Our empirical analysis reveals an increased exposure to oil price changes inconsistent with decarbonization but consistent with the Green Paradox - increased investment due to stranded asset risk. The evidence for an increased exposure to clean energy is mixed and clearly not offsetting the increased oil exposure. Canadian companies appear to be leading the transition whereas US and European companies appear to be laggards.

Keywords: Oil; Clean energy; Renewable energy; Transition; Decarbonization; Low-carbon economy; ESG. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G13 Q42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:125:y:2023:i:c:s0140988323003353

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106837

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Energy Economics is currently edited by R. S. J. Tol, Beng Ang, Lance Bachmeier, Perry Sadorsky, Ugur Soytas and J. P. Weyant

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