Hybrid event-, mechanism- and data-driven prediction of blast furnace gas generation

Wenqiang Sun, Zihao Wang and Qiang Wang

Energy, 2020, vol. 199, issue C

Abstract: Blast furnace gas (BFG) is a byproduct gas and a significant energy source in integrated steelworks. Precise BFG generation prediction plays a pivotal role in site energy scheduling and management. However, it is difficult to accurately predict fluctuations in BFG generation due to the variable operational statuses and complex chemical reactions that occur inside the blast furnace, hindering efficient energy utilization and accordingly causing BFG to flare and contribute to environmental pollution. To tackle this problem, a hybrid event-, mechanism- and data-driven prediction method is proposed in this work. In this novel approach, blast furnace operational events are considered when predicting BFG generation, thus making predictions more accurate by integrating a priori mechanism knowledge associated with the blast furnace ironmaking process; additionally, this approach ensures high accuracy by selecting the best available data-driven prediction model for different event-associated periods. To demonstrate the predictive performance of the proposed hybrid method, comparative experiments are conducted using practical data from integrated steelworks. The results highlight the excellent performance and accuracy of the proposed method when compared with the results of widely used moving average and artificial neural network models.

Keywords: Blast furnace gas (BFG); Event-driven prediction; Data-driven prediction; Regression model; Artificial neural network (ANN) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544220306046
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:199:y:2020:i:c:s0360544220306046

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.117497

Access Statistics for this article

Energy is currently edited by Henrik Lund and Mark J. Kaiser

More articles in Energy from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().