Analysis of energy future pathways for Ecuador facing the prospects of oil availability using a system dynamics model. Is degrowth inevitable?

Vicente Sebastian Espinoza, Javier Fontalvo, Jaime Martí-Herrero, Luis Javier Miguel and Margarita Mediavilla

Energy, 2022, vol. 259, issue C

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to develop a system dynamics model to assess the energy future up to 2050 for Ecuador considering its condition of oil producing country. Three scenarios have been developed with different assumptions regarding national and global oil availability under a Business-As-Usual narrative.

Keywords: System dynamics; Oil availability; Energy scarcity; Energy demand; Oil export policies; Degrowth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:259:y:2022:i:c:s036054422201862x

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.124963

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