Using energy consumption constraints to control the freight transportation structure in China (2021–2030)

Dajie Zuo, Qichen Liang, Shuguang Zhan, Wencheng Huang, Shenglan Yang and Mengyun Wang

Energy, 2023, vol. 262, issue PB

Abstract: China has formulated a series of energy-saving policies to combat climate change, including energy consumption limit to 6 billion tonnes of standard coal by 2030, thus controlling the energy consumption of freight transportation is crucial for achieving energy-saving goals. In this study, the annual control model for freight transportation structure adjustment (FTSA-AC model) was established from the perspectives of the target year prediction and intermediate year controlling to control energy consumption in the freight sector. Innovatively, an efficient algorithm was designed to solve the model and obtain the annual control plan of freight transportation structure adjustment in China (2021–2030). Accordingly, the national freight transportation structure will be continuously adjusted to the optimal state until 2027, and the freight turnover will be achieved at a steady growth rate of 1.50% from 2027 to 2030. The freight turnover will reach 22888.040 billion tonne-kilometres by 2030, in which railways, highways, waterways, and aviation would account for 18.92%, 30.20%, 50.76%, and 0.12%, respectively. According to the results, freight energy consumption will reach its peak in 2029, with 145 million tonnes of standard coal. Lastly, a series of reasonable policy recommendations were presented to provide a reference for energy-efficient freight transport development in China.

Keywords: Freight transportation structure adjustment; Energy consumption; Annual control; FTSA-AC model; Development plan (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544222023945
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:262:y:2023:i:pb:s0360544222023945

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.125512

Access Statistics for this article

Energy is currently edited by Henrik Lund and Mark J. Kaiser

More articles in Energy from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().