Research on road transport planning aiming at near zero carbon emissions: Taking Ruicheng County as an example

Dexi Sun and Jianjun Xia

Energy, 2023, vol. 263, issue PB

Abstract: The rapid development of the urban and rural transport sectors has increased focus on energy and the environment. To support the transport sector in its efforts to achieve carbon neutrality targets, low-carbon road transport planning for specific regions has become a necessity. Using Ruicheng County, Shanxi, China as an example, county-level planning of the road transport sector is conducted in terms of quantifying energy consumption and CO2 emissions; the applicable forms and economic costs of technologies including rooftop photovoltaics and smart chargers in different regions are also discussed. A bottom-up model is built and a scenario analysis is adopted to predict the effects of different policy measures by 2035. Under an aggressive scenario, the demand for fossil fuel will be reduced, while the electricity demand will increase. 91% of CO2 emissions can be reduced. The results show that measures including replacing conventional vehicles with electric vehicles and encouraging public transport could effectively facilitate the road transport sector to gradually approach zero carbon emissions. However, the consumption of diesel by agricultural vehicles is the greatest obstacle to achieving carbon neutrality. Electric vehicles and building-related charging infrastructure can potentially have an important role in the future transport sector and electricity systems.

Keywords: Road transport planning; Carbon neutrality; County-level; Energy consumption; Scenario analysis; Electric vehicles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:263:y:2023:i:pb:s0360544222027207

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.125834

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