Can marketed on-grid price drive the realization of energy transition in China’s power industry under the background of carbon neutrality?

Jing Zhao, Qin Zhang and Dequn Zhou

Energy, 2023, vol. 276, issue C

Abstract: Carbon neutrality goal puts forward new requirements for the energy structure of the power industry in China. The impact of electricity marketization reform on energy transition is one key issue that we need to consider. This paper constructs a system framework for the internal connection of the four primary energy sources and two system dynamics (SD) models to analyze the impact of the marketed on-grid price on the energy transition in the power industry. The results show that: (1) Compared with the benchmark on-grid price, the marketed on-grid price can promote the realization of the energy transition goal in the power industry to a certain extent. In 2060, the marketed on-grid price will be stable at about 0.1 yuan/kWh. (2) The energy transition goal can be achieved if the degree of market openness exceeds 60%. However, if coal-based power fully enters the marketization stage, the proportion of renewable energy can even reach more than 90% in 2060. (3) It is difficult to achieve the carbon neutrality goal only by increasing the proportion of renewable energy. Finally, we put forward corresponding policy recommendations.

Keywords: Carbon neutrality goal; Energy transition; Marketed on-grid price; System dynamics models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:276:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223009507

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.127556

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