Machine learning based battery pack health prediction using real-world data

Yin-Yi Soo, Yujie Wang, Haoxiang Xiang and Zonghai Chen

Energy, 2024, vol. 308, issue C

Abstract: The complex operational conditions in real-world electric vehicles (EVs) contribute to the complexity of managing and maintaining battery packs. Adding to these challenges is the intricate task of modeling the inconsistent coupling among individual cells within these packs. This study addresses the ongoing challenges in modeling lithium-ion battery (LIB) cells within packs and estimating their state of health (SOH) for practical applications. This research proposed a PCA-CNN-Transformer method to model and predict the SOH model of real-world EV. Three main contributions are presented: a novel approach to defining an attenuation SOH model based on delivered energy, a methodology utilizing Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for cell modeling, and an SOH estimation model employing CNN-Transformer architecture. To address both pack and cell-level modeling, a hierarchical feature extraction approach is proposed. The health features extracted from both levels are assessed using grey relational analysis, showing a strong correlation with LIB SOH, exceeding 0.70. The proposed cell modeling method significantly reduces data size by 96%, enhancing computational efficiency. Furthermore, the integration of 1D-CNN in the SOH estimation model overcomes the limitations of the attention mechanism, achieving a MAE with 0.0406 and r-square of 0.9327, improved the original transformer network performance by 10.95%. This study also examines and discusses the performance of the informer and transformer models, elaborating why the informer model underperformed in this dataset.

Keywords: Electric vehicles; Battery pack; Real-world operating; Inconsistent coupling; Health prediction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:308:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224026306

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.132856

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