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Calculating impacts of energy standards on energy demand in U.S. buildings with uncertainty in an integrated assessment model

Michael J. Scott, Don S. Daly, John E. Hathaway, Carina S. Lansing, Ying Liu, Haewon C. McJeon, Richard H. Moss, Pralit L. Patel, Marty J. Peterson, Jennie S. Rice and Yuyu Zhou

Energy, 2015, vol. 90, issue P2, 1682-1694

Abstract: In this paper, an IAM (integrated assessment model) uses a newly-developed Monte Carlo analysis capability to analyze the impacts of more aggressive U.S. residential and commercial building-energy codes and equipment standards on energy consumption and energy service costs at the state level, explicitly recognizing uncertainty in technology effectiveness and cost, socioeconomics, presence or absence of carbon prices, and climate impacts on energy demand. The paper finds that aggressive building-energy codes and equipment standards are an effective, cost-saving way to reduce energy consumption in buildings and greenhouse gas emissions in U.S. states. This conclusion is robust to significant uncertainties in population, economic activity, climate, carbon prices, and technology performance and costs.

Keywords: Building-energy demand; Integrated assessment models; Uncertainty analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:90:y:2015:i:p2:p:1682-1694

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.127

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