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Can local policy uncertainty curtail corporate speculation on financial assets?

Abuduwali Aibai, Yuchao Peng, Peiyi Shen and Hongmei Xu

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2022, vol. 83, issue C

Abstract: Using a hand-collected data set of city-level local official's turnover in China, we find that the average financial investments of listed non-financial firms decrease significantly in the spike of local political uncertainty, i.e., when upon the turnover of city head occurs. The decrease in financial investment still occurs upon the predicted timing of city heads' turnover. The effect is more prominent for firms with high financial distress risk and weaker corporate governance, i.e., those with higher speculative motives. Overall, this paper reveals that local political uncertainty discourages firms' speculative motives of investing in financial securities.

Keywords: Financial investment; Speculative; Precautionary motive; Local political uncertainty; Non-financial firm (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G31 G38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:83:y:2022:i:c:s1057521922002435

DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102287

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