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Volatility connectedness on the central European forex markets

Peter Albrecht () and Evžen Kočenda

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2024, vol. 93, issue C

Abstract: We perform a comprehensive assessment of volatility connectedness between the currencies of Central European (CE) countries using high-frequency data from 2009 to 2022. We provide evidence of asymmetries in connectedness that are dominated by negative volatility, especially during periods of economic distress. We also detect statistically significant economic or political events that lead to increased volatility connectedness. Plus, we document the impact of global shocks, not local ones. Further, the existing lag in the response of the spillover index to stressful events offers an opportunity to effectively hedge foreign exchange risk and to use the CE currencies as hedging tools. Finally, in terms of market-specific factors, liquidity dominates uncertainty as a connectedness driver. Our results are robust with respect to volatility measures and provide direct policy implications for portfolio composition and hedging.

Keywords: Volatility connectedness; Central European currencies; Asymmetries in volatility connectedness; Bootstrap-after-bootstrap procedure; Portfolio composition and hedging (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 F31 F65 G01 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: Volatility Connectedness on the Central European Forex Markets (2023) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:93:y:2024:i:c:s105752192400111x

DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103179

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