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The profitability of technical trading rules in the Bitcoin market

Dirk Gerritsen, Elie Bouri (), Ehsan Ramezanifar and David Roubaud ()

Finance Research Letters, 2020, vol. 34, issue C

Abstract: We apply seven trend-following indicators to assess the profitability of technical trading rules in the Bitcoin market. Using daily price data from July 2010 to January 2019, our main results show that specific technical analysis trading rules, mainly trading range breakout, contain significant forecasting power for Bitcoin prices, allowing the outperformance of the buy-and-hold strategy through the Sharpe ratio computed via the bootstrapping method. Results from various sub-periods, representing normal and boom markets, generally confirm our main finding and show that the added value of the trading range breakout rule delivers outperformance in strongly trending markets.

Keywords: Technical analysis; Trading rules; Profitability; Excess return; Bitcoin (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 G10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (32)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:34:y:2020:i:c:s1544612319303770

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.08.011

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