The COVID-19 shock and long-term interest rates in emerging market economies

Jakub Janus

Finance Research Letters, 2021, vol. 43, issue C

Abstract: Motivated by a divergent behavior of long-term sovereign bond yields across emerging market economies in the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, we employ the Bayesian model averaging to uncover the country-specific factors that explain those differences. The most pronounced determinants of a country’s vulnerability to the COVID-19 shock were: (a) low GDP dynamics and (b) high sensitivity of bond yields to VIX in the period preceding the pandemic. Our results speak to the role of growth fundamentals in building-up the exposure to crises in emerging markets. They also signify a persistent differentiation of emerging economies by international investors.

Keywords: COVID-19; Emerging market economies; Bond markets; Global risk; Bayesian model averaging (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E42 E52 F31 F36 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S154461232100057X
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:43:y:2021:i:c:s154461232100057x

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.101976

Access Statistics for this article

Finance Research Letters is currently edited by R. Gençay

More articles in Finance Research Letters from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().