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IFRS 9, banking risk and COVID-19: Evidence from Europe

Yadira Salazar, Paloma Merello and Ana Zorio-Grima

Finance Research Letters, 2023, vol. 56, issue C

Abstract: We explore whether the shift to the Expected Credit Loss model (ECL) helps Loan Loss Provisions (LLPs) anticipate future overall banking risk as compared to the Incurred Credit Loss model (ICL). Using a sample of European banks from 2015–2021, we find that ECL is more effective than ICL. We are pioneer to find evidence that stage 2 Loan Loss Allowance (LLA) is a good driver of future overall banking risk and that provisions moratoria due to the COVID-19 pandemic diminished the identified significant effect of LLPs and stage 2 LLA on banking risk, as expected.

Keywords: Banking risk; Expected credit loss; Loan loss provision; Stages; Economic cycle (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G21 G23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:56:y:2023:i:c:s1544612323005020

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104130

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