What does PIN identify? Evidence from the T-bill market
Akay, Ozgur (Ozzy),
Ken B. Cyree,
Mark D. Griffiths and
Drew B. Winters
Journal of Financial Markets, 2012, vol. 15, issue 1, 29-46
Abstract:
The probability of informed trading (PIN) measure has been increasingly used in empirical research in finance. However, there is a growing debate as to whether PIN measures information-based or liquidity-based trading. We contribute to the discussion by estimating PIN using transaction data for one-month T-bills. Our PIN estimates exceed those reported for equities, despite it being unlikely that the probability of informed trading is higher in T-bills than equities. We conclude that PIN identifies trading clusters and that the source of the clustering depends on the economics of the market. The economics of the T-bill market suggest discretionary liquidity traders are the likely source of the clustering.
Keywords: PIN; Liquidity; Asymmetric information; Informed trading (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finmar:v:15:y:2012:i:1:p:29-46
DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2011.08.005
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