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Antibacterial resistance and the cost of affecting demand: The case of UK antibiotics

Farasat Bokhari, Franco Mariuzzo and Weijie Yan

International Journal of Industrial Organization, 2024, vol. 95, issue C

Abstract: Consumption of broad-spectrum antibiotics is associated with rising antimicrobial resistance (AMR) levels. The use of broad-spectrum drugs, particularly of cephalosporins, quinolones, and co-amoxiclav contributes the most to the rise in AMR. We use aggregate sales data on antibiotics from the UK to estimate structural demand models and reveal drug substitution patterns. We then simulate alternative tax schemes to evaluate the effectiveness of shifting demand from broad- to narrow-spectrum drugs. Our estimates suggest that these policies can be highly effective in demand management and come at a relatively low cost regarding changes in consumer and producer surplus.

Keywords: Antimicrobial resistance; Demand estimation; Pharmaceuticals; Policy simulation; Welfare change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I11 I18 L11 L65 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:indorg:v:95:y:2024:i:c:s0167718724000377

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijindorg.2024.103082

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International Journal of Industrial Organization is currently edited by P. Bajari, B. Caillaud and N. Gandal

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