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Risk aggregation with dependence uncertainty

Carole Bernard, Xiao Jiang and Ruodu Wang

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2014, vol. 54, issue C, 93-108

Abstract: Risk aggregation with dependence uncertainty refers to the sum of individual risks with known marginal distributions and unspecified dependence structure. We introduce the admissible risk class to study risk aggregation with dependence uncertainty. The admissible risk class has some nice properties such as robustness, convexity, permutation invariance and affine invariance. We then derive a new convex ordering lower bound over this class and give a sufficient condition for this lower bound to be sharp in the case of identical marginal distributions. The results are used to identify extreme scenarios and calculate bounds on Value-at-Risk as well as on convex and coherent risk measures and other quantities of interest in finance and insurance. Numerical illustrations are provided for different settings and commonly-used distributions of risks.

Keywords: Dependence structure; Aggregate risk; Admissible risk; Convex risk measures; TVaR; Convex order; Complete mixability; VaR bounds (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (55)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:insuma:v:54:y:2014:i:c:p:93-108

DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.11.005

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Insurance: Mathematics and Economics is currently edited by R. Kaas, Hansjoerg Albrecher, M. J. Goovaerts and E. S. W. Shiu

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