Global factor premiums

Guido Baltussen, Laurens Swinkels and Pim Van Vliet

Journal of Financial Economics, 2021, vol. 142, issue 3, 1128-1154

Abstract: We examine 24 global factor premiums across equity, bond, commodity, and currency markets via replication and out-of-sample evidence between 1800 and 2016. Replication yields ambiguous evidence within a unified testing framework that accounts for p-hacking. Out-of-sample tests reveal strong and robust presence of the large majority of global factor premiums, with limited out-of-sample decay of the premiums. We find global factor premiums to be generally unrelated to market, downside, or macroeconomic risks in the 217 years of data. These results reveal significant global factor premiums that present a challenge to traditional asset pricing theories.

Keywords: Factor premium; P-hacking; Return anomalies; Predictability; Seasonality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 C12 F31 G11 G12 G15 N20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:142:y:2021:i:3:p:1128-1154

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.06.030

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