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Production complementarity and information transmission across industries

Charles Lee, Terrence Tianshuo Shi, Stephen Teng Sun and Ran Zhang

Journal of Financial Economics, 2024, vol. 155, issue C

Abstract: Economic theory suggests that production complementarity is an important driver of sectoral co-movements and business cycle fluctuations. We operationalize this concept using a measure of production complementarity proximity (COMPL) between any two companies. We show firms from different industries but are closely aligned in COMPL exhibit strong co-movement in their operating, investing, and financing activities, as well as quarterly earnings revisions and monthly returns. We further document a lead-lag effect in their returns, such that a long-short strategy based on recent COMPL peer returns yields a monthly 6-factor alpha of 122 basis points. This inter-industry momentum spillover effect is not explained by other network-based mechanisms, such as shared analyst coverage. We conclude information transmission takes place along complementarity networks, but stock prices do not update instantaneously.

Keywords: Momentum spillovers; Economically linked firms; Return prediction; Investor inattention; Information transmission; Cross-industry news; Production complementarity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E60 G10 G14 M20 M21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:155:y:2024:i:c:s0304405x24000357

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103812

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