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Intended and unintended effects of e-cigarette taxes on youth tobacco use

Rahi Abouk, Charles Courtemanche, Dhaval Dave, Bo Feng, Abigail S. Friedman, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Michael Pesko, Joseph J. Sabia and Samuel Safford

Journal of Health Economics, 2023, vol. 87, issue C

Abstract: Over the past decade, rising youth use of e-cigarettes and other electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) has contributed to aggressive regulation by state and local governments. Between 2010 and mid-2019, ten states and two large counties adopted ENDS taxes. We use two large national surveys (Monitoring the Future and the Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System) to estimate the impact of ENDS taxes on youth tobacco use. We find that ENDS taxes reduce youth ENDS consumption, with estimated ENDS tax elasticities of -0.06 to -0.21. However, we estimate sizable positive cigarette cross-tax effects, suggesting economic substitution between cigarettes and ENDS for youth. These substitution effects are particularly large for frequent cigarette smoking. We conclude that the unintended effects of ENDS taxation may considerably undercut or even outweigh any public health gains.

Keywords: Electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS); E-cigarettes; Vaping; Cigarettes; Smoking; Taxes; Youth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H2 I1 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Intended and Unintended Effects of E-cigarette Taxes on Youth Tobacco Use (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Intended and Unintended Effects of E-cigarette Taxes on Youth Tobacco Use (2021) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jhecon:v:87:y:2023:i:c:s0167629622001345

DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2022.102720

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Journal of Health Economics is currently edited by J. P. Newhouse, A. J. Culyer, R. Frank, K. Claxton and T. McGuire

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