Pandemic and containment policies in open economy
Yousha Liang,
Kang Shi,
Junjie Tang and
Juanyi Xu
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, vol. 125, issue C
Abstract:
This paper analyzes the economic and epidemiological externalities of containment policies in an open-economy setting with firm entry and exit, SIR virus transmission, and a production network. Motivated by empirical evidence that non-pharmaceutical intervention policies (such as workplace closure or social distancing) are substitutes for medication-related policies (healthcare facilities and vaccine development), we incorporated four types of containment policies into our model. We find the workplace closure policy is the most effective in pandemic management, and social distance is a beggar-thy-neighbor strategy. Furthermore, we evaluate the efficacy of existing policy combinations and compare them to the optimal policy choice in the cooperative and Nash equilibrium, and a “prepare-for-worst” situation. Inter-country policy collaboration allows each country to specialize in different policies while also improving overall welfare. Real-world policies differ from optimum policies in the cooperative and Nash equilibrium, but they are closer to the second-best policies in the “prepare-for-worst” scenario, in which the U.S. policies cannot be predicted.
Keywords: Pandemic; Containment policies; Open economy; Policy coordination (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F41 F42 H87 I15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:125:y:2022:i:c:s0261560622000407
DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2022.102637
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