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Asymmetric tail dependence between stock market returns and implied volatility

Krzysztof Echaust

The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 2021, vol. 23, issue C

Abstract: The main objective of this paper is to analyze tail dependence between returns and changes in implied volatility. We verify the asymmetry in dependence of positive and negative extreme returns with implied volatility. This empirical study is based on 678 series of options listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange, in Poland during the period 2007 to 2018. We use a copula methodology and a nonparametric asymptotic dependence approach to estimate tail dependence. We find that changes in implied volatility are asymptotically independent on positive extreme returns and significantly dependent on negative extreme returns. The same asymmetry we obtained for call and put options regardless of their moneyness. The empirical evidence also suggests that implied volatility of put options rise more than that for call options in crash times and falls deeper in times of low volatility.

Keywords: Asymmetry; Tail dependence; Implied volatility; Extreme returns; Copula (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C58 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:joecas:v:23:y:2021:i:c:s1703494920300372

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2020.e00190

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