International monetary coordination and the great deviation
John Taylor
Journal of Policy Modeling, 2013, vol. 35, issue 3, 463-472
Abstract:
Research in the early 1980s found that the gains from international coordination of monetary policy were quantitatively small compared to simply getting domestic policy right. That prediction turned out to be a pretty good description of monetary policy in the 1980s, 1990s, and until recently. Because this balanced international picture has largely disappeared, the 1980s view about monetary policy coordination needs to be reexamined. The source of the problem is not that the models or the theory are wrong. Rather there was a deviation from the rule-like monetary policies that worked well in the 1980s and 1990s, and this deviation helped break down the international monetary balance. There were similar deviations at many central banks, an apparent spillover culminating in a global great deviation. The purpose of this paper is to examine the possible causes and consequences of these spillovers, and to show that uncoordinated responses of central banks to the deviations can create an amplification mechanism, which might be overcome by some form of policy coordination.
Keywords: International policy coordination; International monetary balance; Rebalancing; Rules-based monetary policy; Great Moderation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (58)
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0161893813000434
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Related works:
Working Paper: International Monetary Coordination and the Great Deviation (2013) 
Working Paper: International Monetary Coordination and the Great Deviation (2013) 
Working Paper: International Monetary Coordination and the Great Deviation (2013) 
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:35:y:2013:i:3:p:463-472
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2013.03.010
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of Policy Modeling is currently edited by A. M. Costa
More articles in Journal of Policy Modeling from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().