 Pass through effects of oil price on food and non-food prices in Pakistan: A nonlinear ARDL approachMuhammad Nadeem Sarwar, Hamid Hussain and Muhammad Bilal Maqbool Resources Policy, 2020, vol. 69, issue C Abstract: Petroleum products constitute major share of Pakistan's imports. A change in crude oil prices affects energy prices and thus manufacturing and transportation cost. All these factors result in influencing the prices of goods and services which ultimately affect the welfare level of masses. Keeping in view, the market structure at international and local level, present study examines the pass-through effect of crude oil prices on food and non-food prices in Pakistan using nonlinear and asymmetric autoregressive distributive lag (NARDL) model and causality tests for 1990Q3 to 2019Q4 period. Results show that oil prices effect both food and non-food inflation, but effect is more pronounced in non-food inflation. It is also found that the impact is asymmetric, that is, effect is positive and significant only when oil price increase. Results of this study confirm the role of market power in commodity prices in Pakistan and call for effective regulatory policies. Keywords: Oil price fluctuations; Pass-through; Asymmetric effects; Food inflation; Non-food inflation; NARDL (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:69:y:2020:i:c:s0301420720309077 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101876 Access Statistics for this article Resources Policy is currently edited by R. G. Eggert More articles in Resources Policy from Elsevier |
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