On the relation between Pandemic Disease Outbreak News and Crude oil, Gold, Gold mining, Silver and Energy Markets

Imlak Shaikh

Resources Policy, 2021, vol. 72, issue C

Abstract: Fear of the disease outbreak news (DONs) has shocked commodity markets and raised the likelihood of economic uncertainty and recession globally. This article examines the unprecedented overreaction of investors sentiments in the commodities such as Crude oil, Gold, Gold Mining, Silver, and the Energy sector. The deadly effects of DONs-COVID-19 in the commodities market have been the worst in history; it appeared the first time higher than the common stock's volatility. Covid-19 induced economic uncertainty has impacted severely through all commodities except the safe-haven Gold (GVZ). Importantly, ETF Options based Implied Volatility Index of Crude (OVX), Silver (VXSLV), and Energy (VXXLE) stocks have crossed the peak level what it was prevailing during the global financial crisis 2008. The unparalleled upsurge of the implied volatility index across all commodities indicates higher demand for the hedge funds to protects the commodity portfolio. ETF options on the commodity act as the best hedge against market uncertainty. Overburden on the put option results in an increased risk premium, henceforth higher expected volatility. ETF options truly measure the investor's fear of predominant in the commodity market.

Keywords: Covid-19; Crude oil; Implied volatility index; Gold; Silver; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 G12 G14 Q02 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:72:y:2021:i:c:s0301420721000428

DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102025

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