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The role of stock markets in the US, Europe, and China on oil prices before and after the COVID-19 announcement

Seyedeh Fatemeh Razmi and Seyed Mohammad Javad Razmi

Resources Policy, 2023, vol. 81, issue C

Abstract: This research investigates the asymmetric effects of the three major stock prices of the US, Europe, and China on WTI and Brent oil futures prices before and after the COVID-19 announcement by covering weekly data from January 2015 to April 2021. The results of the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model show that the US stock price has a significant positive effect in both models prior to the COVID-19 announcement but loses its effect on the WTI oil futures price after the COVID-19 announcement. Its impact on the Brent oil futures price remains after the COVID-19 announcement. The Europe stock price has a significant positive effect in all states. China stock price is not significant in the pre-COVID-19 period, but it has a significant effect after the COVID-19 announcement in both models. However, the only positive asymmetric changes in China stock price show a significant effect on the Brent oil futures price. Before COVID-19, the US stock price is the strongest, while the Europe stock price is the strongest after the COVID-19 announcement.

Keywords: Oil price; NARDL; COVID-19; Stock price; Financial markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:81:y:2023:i:c:s0301420723000946

DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103386

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