Energy security analysis in a geopolitically volatile world: A causal study

Khalid Khan, Adnan Khurshid and Javier Cifuentes-Faura

Resources Policy, 2023, vol. 83, issue C

Abstract: The study evaluates the causal nexus between geopolitical risk and energy security from 2004 to 2022. The results of the full sample causality indicate bidirectional causality between geopolitical risk and energy security. Moreover, the results suggest that geopolitical risk significantly impacts energy security in different sub-samples driven by the economic crisis, conflicts between nations, political instability, and terrorism, which have caused energy supply disruptions and increased energy insecurity. On the other hand, the result shows that energy security impacts geopolitical risk caused by economic instability and political unrest resulting from energy insecurity. Our model supports the results, demonstrating that geopolitical risk and energy security are closely intertwined and can have direct and indirect effects on each other. Energy security can be improved through energy diversification, investing in clean energy, building resilient energy infrastructure and promoting the peaceful resolution of conflicts.

Keywords: Geopolitical risk; Energy security; Supply disruption; Energy prices; Political instability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F01 F5 P28 Q20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:83:y:2023:i:c:s0301420723003847

DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103673

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