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Testing for jumps in the stochastic volatility models

Masahito Kobayashi

Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), 2009, vol. 79, issue 8, 2597-2608

Abstract: This paper proposes the Lagrange multiplier (LM) test, or the score test, for jumps in the stochastic volatility (SV) model in the cases where the innovation term follows the normal and Student t-distributions. The tested null hypothesis is that the jump density has zero variance, which is expressed by Dirac’s delta function. It is shown that the unknown jump probability, which is an unidentified parameter under the null hypothesis, is cancelled out in the LM test statistic, and hence this test is free from the estimation problem of unidentified parameters, which is known as the Davies problem [R.B. Davies, Hypothesis testing when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative, Biometrika 64 (1977) 247–254]. Monte Carlo experiments show that the null distribution of the LM test statistic can be approximated by the normal distribution with sufficient accuracy.

Keywords: Davies Problem; Dirac’s delta function; Jump process; Lagrange multiplier test; Stochastic volatility process (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 C22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:matcom:v:79:y:2009:i:8:p:2597-2608

DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.12.009

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