Correlations across Asia-Pacific bond markets and the impact of capital flow management measures
Pornpinun Chantapacdepong and
Ilhyock Shim
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2015, vol. 34, issue C, 71-101
Abstract:
Using a novel database on capital flow management measures in Asia over 2004–2013, we investigate the impact of bond inflow management measures on the cross-market correlations of weekly bond fund flows and of daily bond returns in 12 Asia-Pacific economies, after controlling for global, regional and local factors. We find that a bond inflow management measure taken by a country tends to increase the correlation of bond flows into the country with those into other countries in the region. In particular, a country’s policy actions to loosen (ie increase) bond inflows significantly increase bond flow correlations, but policy actions to tighten (ie decrease) bond inflows have no significant impact. We also find that bond inflow management measures increase bond return correlations in the long run. These results can be explained by the signalling hypothesis, under which global investors expect that when a country takes a bond inflow management measure other countries to take similar actions, so that they increase or decrease their investment in the region at the same time.
Keywords: Bond flow; Bond return; Cross-market correlation; Capital flow management measure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G15 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X15000736
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:34:y:2015:i:c:p:71-101
DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2015.05.005
Access Statistics for this article
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is currently edited by K. Chan and S. Ghon Rhee
More articles in Pacific-Basin Finance Journal from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().